The manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) published by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) rose from 50.9% in June to 51.1% in July. Inflation Rate YoY
This was the lowest rate since September 2019 as the COVID-19 crisis deepened. 1986-2020 Data | 2021-2022 Forecast | Calendar | Historical
China Inflation Rate Rises to Near 8-Year High: Oct 15, 2019: 10:30: China Inflation Rate Rises to Near 6-Year High: Sep 10, 2019: 10:00: China August Inflation Rate Steady at 2.8%: Aug 9, 2019: 11:55
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Food inflation eased to a 9-month low of 10.6% from 14.8% in April, with pork prices rising for 15th month and at a softer rate (81.7% vs 96.9%). Since 2016 the inflation rate is continuously growing. Meantime, non-food inflation was unchanged at 0.4% as cost of other goods and services rose by 5.3%, the same as in April, while there were rises in cost of clothing (2.3% vs -0.3%), household goods (0.1% vs 0.3%), education, culture (2.2 % vs 2.5%), and healthcare (2.1% vs 2.2 %). The CPI basket is reviewed every five years on the basis of household surveys. The statistic shows the average inflation rate in China from 2012 to 2018, with projections up until 2024.
Food inflation accelerated to 11.1 percent from 10.6 percent in May as pork prices continued to rise (81.6 percent vs 81.7 percent).
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China’s inflation accelerated more than forecast in March amid rising wages and a fuel-price increase, signaling that policy makers may exercise caution in adding stimulus to boost growth.
INTEREST RATES: 10-year T-notes staying below 1.0% for a while Kiplinger’s latest forecast on interest rates 5 INFLATION: 0.6% through '20, from 2.3% at end '19 - currently reading Kiplinger… Without an accurate gauge of the rate of inflation we are unable to accurately forecast our actual expenses. Inflation Rate YoY
Meantime, cost fell for transport (-4.6 percent vs -5.1 percent), rent, fuel, and utilities (-0.6 percent vs -0.5 percent) and clothing (-0.4 percent, the same as in May). OECD and IMF predict the increase of the inflation to its peak in 2019 and the following decline in the near future. Inflation increases in July due to higher food prices Last revision took place in 2011. The increase reflected much higher prices for the food, tobacco and alcohol category.Looking for forecasts related to Inflation in China? TEForecast
Inflation Rate YoY
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Meantime, prices for non-food products and services were unchanged, after rising in June. Inflation Rate YoY
Forecasting the inflation rate is critical for financial planning for both companies and individuals. Consumer prices rose 0.6% over the previous month in July, contrasting June’s 0.1 % decrease. On a monthly basis, consumer prices dropped 0.9 percent, after a 1.2 percent decline in March.In China, the most important components of the CPI basket are Food (31.8 percent of total weight) and Residence (17.2 percent). Slower Inflation Rate Boosts North America Real Wages Slightly . Inflation Rate YoY
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China's annual inflation rate rose to 2.7 percent in July 2020, recovering further from a 14-month low hit in May and slightly beating market expectations of 2.6 percent. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.6 percent, the first rise in five months.China's annual inflation rate rose to 2.5 percent in June 2020 from a 14-month low of 2.4 percent in the prior month and in line with market expectations. On the other hand, non-food prices slowed (0.3 percent vs 0.4 percent in May), due to healthcare (1.9 percent vs 2.1 percent), education, culture & recreation (1.9 percent vs 2.2 percent), and other goods & services (5.1 percent vs 5.3 percent). Inflation rose to 2.7 percent in July from 2.5 percent in June, the National Bureau of Statistics reported.
Non-food inflation also slowed to 0.4 percent from 0.7 percent, amid falls in cost of clothing (-0.4 percent vs -0.3 percent), rent, fuel and utilities (-0.3 percent vs -0.1 percent), and transport & communication (-4.9 percent vs -3.8 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices dropped by 0.8 percent, after a 0.9 percent decline in April and compared with forecasts of a 0.5% fall.China's annual inflation rate fell to 3.3 percent in April 2020 from 4.3 percent in the previous month and below market consensus of 3.7 percent. Forecasts from agencies are a little different. ... China’s real-wage forecasted growth for 2020 weakened to 2.9 percent, down from … At the same time, cost fell for transport (-4.4 percent vs -4.6 percent), rent, fuel, and utilities (-0.7 percent vs -0.6 percent), household goods and services (-0.1 percent vs 0.0 percent), and clothing (-0.5 percent vs -0.4 percent). UOB Group’s Economist Ho Woei Chen, CFA, gives her opinion on the latest set of inflation figures in the Chinese economy.
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